Australia’s federal government, Monday, raised Australia’s National Terrorism Threat Level from “possible” to “probable”.
A threat level of “probable”, under the current system, says there is a greater than fifty per cent chance of an onshore attack or attack planning in the next twelve months.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced the move following a meeting of the national security committee and cabinet this morning. He stressed that “probable” does not mean “inevitable”.
Intelligence experts say the decision to raise the threat level was not triggered by any single ideology or issue, but reported an overall rise in polarisation in Australia and other Western nations.